March madness predictions, sentencing style

I believe we will know the outcome of two interesting and very different sentencing cases I have been following before the end of today (March 9).  But before we get sentencing outcomes, I wanted, in the spirit of March Madness, to encourage sentencing students (if not already checked out for Spring Break) to make sentencing predictions with the prospect of a reward.  Specifically, anyone who comments to this post with a sentencing prediction in these two pending cases who comes within two years of the actual outcome will be treated by me at a coming happy hour:

Federal fraud sentencing for "Pharma Bro" Martin Shkreli, being decided by US District Judge

State involuntary manslaughter sentencing for Shana Elliott, being decided by a Texas jury